Donald Trump to be Elected as a President Again
Despite his bad record as president, many legal probes, and his attempt to reverse the election outcome in 2020, Donald Trump has not gone away. In August 2022, Trump's hold on the Republican Party appears to be growing. Liz Cheney, the Republicans' most outspoken Trump opponent, was defeated in a Republican primary contest by a Trump-endorsed candidate.
Could President Trump serve a second term in office? He wishes to run for president again. He enjoyed being president and would welcome the legal protections that come with it. He enjoys the politics, the crowds, the battle, which he feeds on, and, most importantly, the limelight.
We've seen the federal probe intensify in recent days; the more his legal risk, the more probable he will flee. He'll be able to depict himself as a victim and run on grievance politics more readily. If he is prosecuted, he will be able to make his case much more powerfully. These prosecutions are partisan attempts to keep him from returning to the White House, and running might help him with his legal strategy in that regard.
At the same time, that legal issue may aid him in his political plan. There is a hard core of the Republican Party that is anxious for him to be the nominee, and you can still see Trump flags flying from their homes.
If most Republican officeholders and candidates around the country were to talk openly about it, the majority of them would want him to run again. Many in the Republican Party are ready to move on from the insanity, diversions, and even the cult of personality itself. They're sick of it, and another generation of Republican contenders is waiting in the wings. But none of them would be able to overcome Donald Trump's lead, which begins with crucial primaries in Wyoming and Alaska overnight.
Liz Cheney's devastating defeat at the hands of her Trump-backed opponent came as no surprise to anyone, least of all to her, who thought she'd been anticipating it. She has been the most vocal opponent of him inside the Republican Party. It supports or concretizes the notion that opposing Donald Trump signifies political disaster. Liz Cheney's loss will show what happens when you cross him. The midterm elections are crucial because multiple candidates are running, notably in Senate races.
In battleground states, who are Donald Trump's candidates, they were not the party's picks, and so Republicans are now waging a kind of rearguard struggle in places where they have a real chance of taking up a senate seat. It's because the candidates they've put up are so ineffective. So, if the Republicans are unable to retake the Senate as a result of these largely Trump-nominated people, it will contribute to a genuine sense of discontent with him and inside the party.
Now, whether it has any influence or not is a separate thing, because Donald Trump is a confirmed loser, having lost the presidency for his party. He lost the house and the senate for his party two years ago, and other politicians in the party were gnashing their teeth about it at the time, but that hasn't prevented them from coming back into line.
Now, if Donald Trump's handpicked candidates fail, it may not be an issue for him in regaining the Republican nomination. He would struggle to obtain a majority of votes in the general election. That's not the same as saying you can't be elected president again, because as we've seen, there's a road to the presidency that involves amassing enough electoral votes and critical battleground states to bring them there again with minority support.
The most concerning trend in American politics in recent years has been the undermining of the integrity of the vote. There are Republican contenders for critical jobs in counting votes the next time around who have entirely bought into the so-called great hoax that Donald Trump won. There's a chance he does well in these battleground states and has supporters in important places who can fake the results that he didn't have last time. It's a frightening notion, but Americans have learned in recent years that they must take such eventualities seriously because Donald Trump has constantly pushed the bounds of everyone else's political imagination.
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